Update on Potential Tropical Storm

A hurricane reconnaissance aircraft was unable to detect a closed circulation with the tropical disturbance located north of Puerto Rico this afternoon. Conditions appear favorable, however, for the further development of this system into a tropical depression, and perhaps a tropical storm. The posted image shows the very latest plot of computer model guidance tracks of this system.

Next Tropical System Possible

An area of tropical convection 300 miles northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico is becoming better organized Tuesday morning, and has a high probability of strengthening into a tropical cyclone over the next couple of days. Upper-level winds are expected to have minimal shear, allowing the system to develop a surface low and focus for organized convection. Currently movement of the convection is to the west-northwest at 20 mph. Indications are that this system, like last weekend's Hurricane Bill, will pass in between Bermuda and the Outer Banks this weekend.

If this does become a Tropical Storm, it will be named Danny.