Tropical Storm Danny

A NOAA Hurricane Hunter investigation this morning concluded that Tropical Storm Danny has indeed formed after becoming better-organized Wednesday and developing a surface low pressure center around which the tropical convection will be focused. Danny is currently about 445 miles east of Nassau in the Bahamas, and is expected to produce rain totals in the Central and Northwestern Bahamas of two to three inches. Maximum sustained winds are at 45mph, but slow strengthening is possible the next several days, when Danny may reach Category 1 hurricane status late Friday or early Saturday. Movement is to the west-northwest at 18mph, which will take Danny on a course for the Outer Banks by Friday into early Saturday. While it appears that the center of the tropical storm will remain just offshore in the Atlantic, eastern North Carolina and Virgina may receive some of the impacts inland from Danny, including gusty winds, storm squalls, and high surf along the coastlines.

Hurricane Hunters Investigating Storm

A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is en route to the tropical convection that has been strengthening and becoming better-organized early Wednesday about 470 miles east of Nassau in the Bahamas. It will determine if a surface low pressure center has developed, around which the convection can organize into either a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Danny.

Track A Little Closer To OBX

The still disorganized area of tropical convection 350 miles north of Hispaniola continues to be monitored for any development and strengthening. As of early Wednesday morning, a surface low pressure center is still not evident. However, as these storms move west-northwest today, they should move into a lower-shear environment that may allow the storm to organize and become our next Tropical Depression or Storm.


This is the latest computer model guidance for possible tracks of the system. Compare it to Zach's post from last night, and you'll notice the trend is to move the tracks farther west toward the Outer Banks.