Ok, I just reviewed the latest data and will address the three pressing questions from the previous blog entry:
1) Temperatures look like they will stay in the mid 30s Monday night
2) Tomorrow will be in the upper 50s, so the ground will heat up even more
3) The storm track looks even farther off the coast
This isn't great news for all you snow lovers out there. We should see a brief wintry mix of rain to wet snow Monday night and into very early Tuesday, then this storm will be gone. Of course, if the track changes even the slightest, we will let you know! Lastly, we should have another quick shot at some snow early Wednesday. Carrie will have another update tomorrow morning.
Sunday, February 1, 2009
Monday Night
I'm still expecting a rain-to-snow mix Monday night and into Tuesday morning. Latest data is even suggesting that some of this snow will stick, however, I remain skeptical. Here's why:
1) Temperatures will be *just* above freezing when the snow is falling. This means a lot of the snow will be wet.
2) Today was a warm day and tomorrow will also be mild, so the ground will be relatively warm during this event. That will also affect accumulations.
3) The track of this storm is still uncertain. If it pulls too far off the coast, then our chances for ANY snow will dramatically drop.
Regardless, when a storm takes this kind of track, we have to watch it VERY carefully. I will look at the newest data this evening and have another update around 11:30 PM.
1) Temperatures will be *just* above freezing when the snow is falling. This means a lot of the snow will be wet.
2) Today was a warm day and tomorrow will also be mild, so the ground will be relatively warm during this event. That will also affect accumulations.
3) The track of this storm is still uncertain. If it pulls too far off the coast, then our chances for ANY snow will dramatically drop.
Regardless, when a storm takes this kind of track, we have to watch it VERY carefully. I will look at the newest data this evening and have another update around 11:30 PM.
Saturday, January 31, 2009
Where's The Snow?
Although we saw some wintry weather earlier this week, this snow season has been lackluster to say the least. The snow total so far for Richmond? A trace. That's it!
Here is a graph that depicts the chance for an accumulating snow through the year (provided by the National Weather Service). I roughly drew a normalized curve (solid blue line) to help see the trend.
From the graph, you can see that the best chances for an accumulating snow is in late January and early February.
I'm still expecting the chance for rain changing to some snow Monday night and into Tuesday. After that, it looks like we are headed towards a mild stretch of weather. So it makes you wonder...is this it?
The winter is still young, so I'm certain that we will have at least a couple more shots for some snow in late February and into early March. So be patient all you snow lovers!
Here is a graph that depicts the chance for an accumulating snow through the year (provided by the National Weather Service). I roughly drew a normalized curve (solid blue line) to help see the trend.
From the graph, you can see that the best chances for an accumulating snow is in late January and early February.
I'm still expecting the chance for rain changing to some snow Monday night and into Tuesday. After that, it looks like we are headed towards a mild stretch of weather. So it makes you wonder...is this it?
The winter is still young, so I'm certain that we will have at least a couple more shots for some snow in late February and into early March. So be patient all you snow lovers!
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