It still appears very likely that central Virginia will be influenced by a two-part storm system next Friday and Saturday. The first part will be a cold front arriving early Friday, dropping high temperatures from the mid 70s Thursday to the upper 50s on Friday. This cooler air will remain in the area through Saturday. The second part will be an upper storm system arriving from the southwest that will bring rain to the area Friday into early Saturday. There’s a chance that the rain could end before the race, but at this point in time, I’m keeping the forecast as is. I am lowering the temperature for race time, as there appears to be a consistent signal for colder air to move in on Friday. Here’s my latest forecast:
Mostly cloudy and cool, with a 40% chance of rain, and temperatures from 8 AM – 11 AM ranging from 42-47 degrees.
Friday, March 19, 2010
Thursday, March 18, 2010
Spring Outlook
The Vernal Equinox is Saturday (see earlier Blog entry), and today the Climate Prediction Center released its Spring outlook for April, May, and June for the U.S.
Temperature Outlook:

Precipitation Outlook:

This is showing the Commonwealth having "Equal Chances" (EC) of an above or below average Spring season. So what's the Spring "norm" for Richmond? The average high temperature goes from the mid-60's in early April to the mid-80's in late June. Here's a graph for the averages and extremes in Richmond for an entire year:

And for precipitation, here are Richmond's averages (based on 1971-2000 records):
April: 3.18"
May: 3.95"
June: 3.54"
You can view the full climate averages and records for Richmond here.
In other climate news, El Nino, which began last April and has been going strong through the Winter months, is expected to continue through at least Spring, although there should be a gradual weakening back to near-neutral conditions by early Summer.
Temperature Outlook:

Precipitation Outlook:

This is showing the Commonwealth having "Equal Chances" (EC) of an above or below average Spring season. So what's the Spring "norm" for Richmond? The average high temperature goes from the mid-60's in early April to the mid-80's in late June. Here's a graph for the averages and extremes in Richmond for an entire year:

And for precipitation, here are Richmond's averages (based on 1971-2000 records):
April: 3.18"
May: 3.95"
June: 3.54"
You can view the full climate averages and records for Richmond here.
In other climate news, El Nino, which began last April and has been going strong through the Winter months, is expected to continue through at least Spring, although there should be a gradual weakening back to near-neutral conditions by early Summer.
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