Friday, August 28, 2009
Danny Update
The latest update on tropical storm Danny reveals no change in intensity, but more of a northeastward movement and an increase in forward speed. With most of the rain and wind displaced to the east and southeast of the system, the affects on the Outer Banks are expected to be minor and short lived. The weather in central Virginia will be unaffected by Danny, but a few storms will be possible Saturday associated with an upper-level low over the Southeast U.S.
Disorganized Danny
Tropical Storm Danny remains weak Friday morning, barely at tropical storm strength with maximum sustained winds up to 40mph northeast of the center of low pressure. Danny is also still just as disorganized as it has remained all week during its life. (Watch a NASA GOES loop of Danny from Tuesday through Thursday here.) Poor Danny just hasn't been able to overcome some of the interfering upper-level factors preventing a typical cyclone structure from developing. Here's what Danny looks like this morning:

As Zach talked about last night, the center of Danny will pass offshore of the OBX Saturday, bringing high waves and riptides to the coast, with winds up to 30-45 mph for a few hours.

Thursday, August 27, 2009
Tropical Storm Danny Update
Danny has weakened further this evening, with maximum sustained winds of only 45 mph. A tropical storm watch was issued this afternoon for much of the OBX from Duck to Cape Lookout. While some strengthening is possible over the next 36 hours, it does not appear very likely for Danny to achieve hurricane strength. I expect the center of Danny to move approximately 75 miles east of Cape Hatteras early Saturday morning. Tropical storm force winds will likely extend outward roughly 100 miles from the center of the storm, resulting in a brief period (3-4 hours) of winds in the range of 30-45 mph on the Outer Banks. I don’t think the storm will be large enough to spread a disruptive measure of wind and/or rain into central Virginia.
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