Saturday, October 24, 2009

Severe Thunderstorms Possible Today

Scattered rain showers linger across the area this morning. These are ahead of a front that will pass the area later this afternoon. The atmosphere should become even more unstable during that time, especially if we see any sunshine.


Wind shear also looks very strong. This means that we will have the threat for fast-moving thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and possibly an isolated tornado. This will occur anywhere from 3 to 9 PM and includes most of central and eastern Virginia.


We are watching this closely and will have more updates soon!

Friday, October 23, 2009

The Latest On Saturday Storm Potential

After looking at the latest data, there will still be some strong "lift" in the upper atmosphere. In addition, the jet stream will provide plenty of shear.


In addition, the cold front will pass the area in the late afternoon.


Morning showers should briefly reduce the instability, however, the atmosphere should recharge by the afternoon. If this scenario pans out tomorrow, we could see some severe thunderstorms in the area. We will have more updates in the next 24 hours.

Update On Severe Potential

The atmosphere still looks marginally unstable heading into Saturday afternoon, however, there will be strong "lift" in the atmosphere to create a few thunderstorms. Right now it looks like the best chances for severe storms will be in our area and especially farther north. This is still a developing situation, so we will have more updates soon.