Tropical Update

The weak and disorganized area of convection in between Bermuda and the Bahamas is showing no signs of strengthening into a sub-tropical storm. There is still a very low chance that these showers and storms may form into Sub-Tropical Storm Alex in the next 48 hours, but it's not likely. This low pressure system will stay offshore, only bringing cloud-cover over the Carolinas and Virginia and higher surf for the end of the week.
The Atlantic Hurricane Season officially starts a week from today! Make sure you are prepared.

Eying the Tropics

We're one week away from the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season (June 1), and we already have the first stirrings of tropical activity. A non-tropical (i.e., its center is colder than its surroundings as opposed to warmer) low pressure system is currently about 500 miles South-Southwest of Bermuda.

The showers and thunderstorms associated with this low are disorganized and not particularly strong. However, conditions are such that strengthening and organizing of this system is possible in the next two days. If this happens, we could have our first named tropical system of the season, Alex. Check back here for updates!

Thunderstorms Today

An upper-level storm is currently spinning over Virginia. This storm has provided some cooler air in the upper atmosphere which has destabilized our atmosphere. In other words, thunderstorms have developed across the area. These storms are fueled by sunshine, so I'm expecting these to weaken a couple hours after sunset. The strongest storms will be capable of very heavy rain, strong wind gusts, and possibly some small hail.