Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Wednesday Morning Rain Totals



Remnants of Colin Not Likely to Revive Soon


Tropical Storm Colin, which formed Tuesday morning from Tropical Depression Four, lost its short-lived surface center of circulation Tuesday evening, and is now a "remnant low" pressure system. Upper-level winds disrupted the organization of Colin yesterday, and will likely inhibit re-strengthening anytime soon. What remains of Colin is a couple hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands in the western Atlantic (see satellite image above). This low pressure system will likely avoid any landmasses as it remains over the open Atlantic, currently moving to the west-northwest at 25 mph.

Over the next couple days, Colin's remnants will likely be unable to reorganize, which you can see through the 48 hour period.

By the time this system could reorganize and strengthen, it will already be arching back eastward several hundred miles east of the U.S. coast. Colin, or its remnants, will likely not impact the U.S.

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Tropical Storm Colin: Third Named Storm of 2010 Season


Tropical Depression Four was upgraded to Tropical Storm Colin just before 5 a.m. EDT Tuesday morning. Estimated maximum sustained winds are at 40 mph, which is just barely at tropical storm strength. Storm motion is to the west-northwest at 23 mph, with no landmasses threatened at this time (In case you're wondering, Colin is currently about 2400 miles away from Richmond, VA). The expected track of this storm (see forecast below) keeps Colin well away from any of the Caribbean islands and turns it parallel to the U.S. Atlantic coast far offshore this weekend.

In addition to the track through the open Atlantic waters, intensity likely will not reach hurricane strength, although some strengthening is expected.

Even though we are not currently anticipating Colin will directly impact the U.S., we will continue to monitor the track all week.