The shower and storm activity that has been disorganized all week is finally getting its act together, and fast. You can see in this visible satellite image of the system over the Bahamas that there is better organization and growth. Observations from the Bahamas indicate the critical closed circulation is now present. The National Hurricane Center expects to issue either a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm notice at 11 a.m. EDT. They anticipate issuing Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings for part of the Bahamas and southern Florida. Here are the morning forecast model tracks for this system: 
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