Since my last update, Tropical Depression #16 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Nicole at 11AM Wednesday with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Nicole is tracking over western Cuba and will clip southern Florida today. Nicole will lose its tropical characteristics as it approaches North Carolina tomorrow, meaning that we will receive Nicole's remnants in Virginia through Thursday night. The system is still expected to merge with a frontal boundary along the Southeast and lift rapidly northeast early Friday. The Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for nearly the entire Commonwealth, with 2"-4" of rainfall expected by late Thursday as a result of the moisture plume feeding into Virginia from the Atlantic. Isolated higher totals are possible if any embedded thunderstorms occur, especially along and east of I-95.
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