As expected, Tropical Depression #16 was officially designated this morning for the low we've been watching in the northwest Caribbean south of Cuba. TD 16 is just below Tropical Storm strength, and will likely reach that later today or tomorrow and be named Nicole. This system is expected to track over Cuba and southern Florida tomorrow, then hug along the Southeast US Thursday. Heavy rain is possible in the Commonwealth from late Wednesday through Thursday while this system interacts with the surface boundary that will stall along the coast today. This is the front moving through today associated with the potent low pressure system tracking north of us this morning.
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
A low pressure system in the Caribbean just south of Cuba is becoming better organized early this Tuesday morning. It could become a Tropical Depression or Storm at any time. The next name on our list this year is Nicole. Regardless of what happens with its intensity, we expect this low to track northeast over the next two days, passing over Cuba and Florida, pushing tropical moisture northeast into the Mid-Atlantic Wednesday and Thursday.
It looks like heavy rain will be possible in the Commonwealth mainly on Thursday as a result of this storm system tracking through our area. It will quickly exit northeast late Thursday, and a strong cold front will sweep through from the northwest Friday bringing our first true taste of Fall for the weekend into early next week.