Rain totals should range from around 0.75" to 1.25" (give or take 0.25"). This is great news considering that we are about 2.5" below normal for the year.
Severe Weather Checklist
- Instability (heat and humidity)
Moisture should be high enough to support thunderstorms. Temperatures will be hindered by clouds and rain, especially along and west of I-95. Highs should climb into the mid 60s for central and southeast VA. This should be *just* warm enough for isolated thunderstorms.
- Trigger (something to spark thunderstorm development)
A strong front will pass the area in the afternoon, which is typically ideal for severe storms.
- Wind Shear
We will have strong speed shear (winds increase with height), and minor directional shear (winds change direction with height).
Clouds will prevent any sun for today, which in turn keeps us cooler.