Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Intense Low Pressure to Bring Wind and Rain to the State


An area of low pressure off the coast of North Carolina will continue to intensify Wednesday night into Thursday morning, possibly becoming Subtropical Storm Kyle during that timeframe. Expect sustained northeast winds of 20-30 mph in central Virginia on Thursday, with stronger winds across southeast Virginia, and in the higher elevations of the Blue Ridge Mountains. Wave height on the western shore of the Chesapeake Bay will be in the range of 5 to 6 feet, with waves of 8 to 10 feet expected in and near Virginia Beach. A coastal flood warning is in effect for the Middle Peninsula and Hampton Roads, where minor to moderate coastal flooding is expected Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening. Rain will move into the area Thursday morning and should continue intermittently through Saturday morning.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Good morning-
I've been doing a little research on this system because something about it just seemed to be familiar. Sure enough. Tropical Storm Gaston formed in this same region on August 24th 2004 31.6N/78.1W. Can we expect this system act the same way? If you were here during that storm you'll understand the concern.
Lee

Anonymous said...

Good question, and it's a vaild concern when you look at the latest radar loop, but this system should not affect the area to the extent of Gaston. This system is an extratropical cyclone, which looks like a tropical storm or a noreaster, but is slightly different. It's a cold-core low, but not having enough cold air to produce snow that a nor'easter would produce. The total rainfall from an extratropical cyclone is far less than in a classic tropical storm, and the strongest winds are also displaced a large distance from the center of the storm. For central Virginia, I expect to see sustained winds of 20-30 mph with a few higher gusts, and 1.5-3 inches of storm total rainfall.

Zach