Few Flurries Monday Morning

A few flurries are making it to the surface Monday morning in Central Virginia, but most of the light precipitation moving through the state is not reaching the ground because of dry air at the lower levels of the atmosphere. However, flurries have occurred this morning from Lynchburg, to Farmville, to Richmond, to Hanover, and up to D.C. This activity is very light, and will not lead to any significant accumulations in Central Virginia. Skies will remain mostly cloudy Monday, with light Easterly winds.

A strong storm system is developing in the South-Central U.S. today, and will leave a swath of Winter Weather from Texas to Virginia and into the Northeast through Wednesday. Winter Watches and Warnings are in effect for this region, with a Winter Storm Watch for Western and far North-Central Virginia. This storm system is still developing early Monday morning, so these forecast snow totals Tuesday-Wednesday for Virginia are preliminary.

As for snowfall accumulations, I expect mostly trace amounts of snow along a line from Tappahannock to Richmond to Lynchburg. Along and north of a line from D.C. to Staunton, and in the mountains of western Virginia, up to 3” of snow is possible by the end of Wednesday, but most places in that region will have 2" or less.

Also, some icing is likely along that freezing line, as it shifts from Central into Northern Virginia Tuesday afternoon. This will lead to slick and icy roads and bridges until temperatures rise above freezing in Central Virginia.

The freezing line is going to be the deal-breaker for who sees snow and who does not! At this time, I expect the freezing line to be along a line from Tappahannock to Richmond to Farmville by Noon Tuesday, becoming all rain along and South of this line through Tuesday afternoon. The rain/snow line will continue to shift Northward toward Fredericksburg to Charlottesville overnight, with rain South of that line. By Wednesday morning, snow will be confined to West, Northwest, and North-Central Virginia. Wednesday afternoon, the cold front associated with this system will sweep through the region. Any lingering rainfall will transition back over to a wintry mix before ending Wednesday night in Central Virginia.

The next several days still have many factors that could change and alter the above forecast. We will post updates often, so stay with CBS 6, we'll keep you ahead of the storm!
--Carrie--