Friday, May 1, 2009

Update On Severe Potential

The front (indicated by the white line) will continue to reside to the north and west of our area today. More numerous showers and thunderstorms will be concentrated near this front, however, a renegade shower or thunderstorm will be possible through the day today.


The front will creep closer to the area for Saturday and give us a better chance for more showers and a few thunderstorms.


Jet stream winds will be strong enough to provide some speed shear (winds increasing with height). Also, with winds from the S/SW at the surface, and from the W farther up in the atmosphere, there will be some directional shear as well.


Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday. The key to the forecast is sunshine. If we see sunshine, it will destabilize the atmosphere and intenisfy the storms.

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