Weather Update 7:30 AM Sunday

The picture is becoming clearer as this storm approaches our area. As I've said from the start, surface temperatures will be key to the forecast. Right now it looks like temps will hover just above the freezing mark as the system passes Tuesday night into early Wednesday. This will eat away at our accumulation potential. In fact, history has proven (i.e. last Wednesday night) that when surface temperatures climb to 35 or 36 degrees, we will see snow change to rain. This is a very fine line that we have to forecast and is the reason why I'm going to hold off until later this evening to speculate possible snow totals in our area.



March snow storms are actually more common than you would think. Here is a list of a few I found at the following link:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/akq/climate/RIC_Climate_Records.pdf