Monday, September 13, 2010

Tropics Update Monday Noon

Major Hurricane Igor (image: east of the Leeward Islands) and Tropical Storm Julia (image: far right storm just coming into satellite view) are tracking through the open Atlantic Ocean today, and both storms will likely never impact any landmasses, other than Bermuda. Here is Igor's expected long-range track, which curves over Bermuda this weekend and tracks northeast into the North Atlantic, losing its tropical characteristics next week. The reason why Igor is expected to make this curve northeast is because a trough will sweep through the East Coast Friday and out to sea on Saturday, giving Igor the nudge northeast it needs to avoid any U.S. impacts.
And here's Julia's track, which will also remain in the open Atlantic even farther away from the U.S.:
Tropical Storm Julia could strengthen into a hurricane mid-week.
Hurricane Igor is likely already about at its peak intensity, and should gradually weaken over the week, but remain a major Category 3 or stronger storm while it remains over very warm ocean waters with limited disruptive shear.
A disorganized disturbance in the central Caribbean is also being monitored for potential organization right now.
There is a chance this could organize in the coming days into a tropical system. If it does, the next name on our list is Karl.

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