What you see there over Florida will likely in reality be different by the time we get there...but it's definitely something to which we as forecasters are already paying close attention.
Based on tropical cyclone climatology in the Atlantic Basin, you can see that late August into September is when we typically see most of our tropical activity. We are also past-due (statistically speaking) for our first hurricane of the season (See Table 1 below), which in an average season would have occurred by August 10th. As of this blog posting, we are through Tropical Storm Gert, our 7th named storm of the 2011 season (all storms of which have remained below Hurricane status).
Table 1: Progress of the average Atlantic season (1966-2009). Date upon which the following number of events would normally have occurred.
You can learn about Virginia's long record of brushes or hits by tropical cyclones by clicking here.
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--Meteorologist Carrie Rose