Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Update on Snow Chances for the Weekend

So this is what we've been reduced to. The winter of 2011-2012 has been so miserably unfulfilling to snow lovers, that the mere mention of the possibility of seeing a few flakes gets us all giddy. Yes, I said "us". I'm a big fan of Virginia's varied weather with four solid seasons, and a trace of snow just doesn't cut it for me. Perhaps I'm spoiled from the past two winters, but whether you like the cold weather or not, it's just not winter without one good snow. I saw this type of winter coming with a La Nina in full swing ala 2006, but banked on one decent storm this season when I made my winter weather forecast. And I'm still banking on one, it just won't be this weekend. The type of system that will affect the area this weekend is a clipper. It moves quickly, is moisture starved, and rarely produces much of an accumulation around here. Computer models tend to under forecast precipitation in this type of scenario, so I'm putting more weight in the pattern than in what the model actually shows for precip. Even so, much of what develops and falls will evaporate in the very dry air that will be in place. I'm still looking forward to seeing even the lightest of what Mother Nature throws our way. I'll have another update tomorrow. -Zach

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